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Saturday, November 20, 2010

JD(U)-BJP combine headed for clear victory in Bihar: polls

Exit polls at the final phase of the Bihar Assembly elections predicted a clear victory for the JD(U)-BJP combine.

While CNN-IBN-The Week post poll study projected that the JD(U)-BJP alliance will sweep the polls with 185-201 seats, a Star AC Nielson exit poll predicted that Nitish Kumar-led NDA will get 150 seats.

An exit poll, conducted by CVoter, projected JD(U)-BJP combine coming back to power in Bihar. It said the combine will get 142-54 seats.

The CNN-IBN-The Week post poll study projection claimed that NDA will emerge victorious with 185-201 seats out of the total 243 assembly seats.

The CNN-IBN-The Week post poll study projected JD (U)-BJP combine emerging as the single largest alliance in Bihar with 46 per cent vote share in its kitty followed by RJD-LJP alliance at a distant 27 per cent and Congress at merely 9 per cent as the sixth and final final phase of polling comes to an end.

The Lalu Prasad-led RJD-LJP alliance was predicted to be gaining 22-32 seats while Congress gain between 6-12 seats. Independents, Left parties and others will end up with 9-19 seats, the CNN-IBN-The Week post poll study projected.

Star AC Nielson exit poll predicted that RJD-LJP combine will get 57 seats out of a total 243 with a loss of seven while Congress will stood at 15 and others at 21.

CVoter exit poll projected that RJD-LJP alliance will remain at a distant second to NDA with their tally ranging between 59 and 71 while Congress coming in third place will get 12-18 seats.

According to the CNN-IBN-The Week exit poll, JD (U) chief Nitish Kumar was way ahead of his rivals in popularity as the Chief Minister of the state.

Nitish kumar was preferrred as the Chief Minister by 54 per cent of voters as the man in the top office for a consecutive second term while Lalu-Rabri remained far behind him with only 28 per cent preferring "either of them", the exit poll claimed.

Nitish Kumar's popularity has been increasing over last few years since 2004 reaching at all time high with 60 per cent in 2009.

However, Rabri Devi-Lalu Prasad as the choice for the post of Chief Minister has not changed significantly in all these years and has stayed between 25-3- per cent as it was in the past, the study claimed.

The post poll study claimed that not only Kumar but his government too was riding a high in its popularity in Bihar with 60 per cent of voters suggesting that they want his government for a second term in the state.

20 per cent of voters, however, wanted a change in government of the state.

The CNN-IBN-The Week post poll study claimed that 78 per cent voters said that they were satisfied with the JD(U)-led NDA government while 19 per cent expressed their dissatisfaction.

CVoter exit poll claimed that Kumar has been able to translate his social engineering equations into votes with 42.9 per cent of Mahdalits and 49 per cent of most backward classes having voted in favour of NDA.

It also claimed that Nitish kumar has been able to prevail over the upper caste votes, underling that 51.5 per cent of upper castes wanted to give Kumar a second chance in power.

Through the Lenses !

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